President Vladimir Putin is running for a second consecutive term and a fourth term overall. Putin will win this voteand all of the following elections.
He is the president for life as he cannot just quit like Zimbabwes Robert Mugabe or South Africas Jacob Zuma. Hostage to his own crimes and misdemeanors, Putin is doomed to die in his Kremlin residence.
Putins annexation of Crimea was very popular in Russia, and its to his political advantage that the March 18 presidential election falls on its fourth anniversary. If for some unlikely reason he does not win a majority of the votes, then a second round will take place on April 8.
Putins electoral strategy, which has a tradition dating back to the times of Ivan the Terrible, is pretty simple: let as many candidates as possible run against him, and the more ridiculous they are, the better it is for his reputation.
The only real threat to Putins presidential tenure was nationalist democrat leader Alexei Navalny, who gained prominence in Russia as a critic of corruption of the Putin administration. Navalny, however, has an arrest record for embezzlement and illegal protests, and was barred by Russias Central Electoral Commission from running in 2018 elections.
Other candidates for the presidency include neofascist mischief-maker Vladimir Zhirinovsky, Pavel Grudinin of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, Maksim Suraykin of the rival Russian Communists party, popular TV journalist and actress Xenia Sobchak of the Civil Initiative movement, and Grigori Yavlinsky, my former colleague at the Soviet Department of Labor who now leads the social democratic Apple Party. A couple others without name recognition or coherent platforms are also running.
The first Russian presidential debate staged by Russias Central Electoral Commission, which was attended by all candidates but Putin, descended into farce when Xenia Sobchak doused Vladimir Zhirinovsky with water.
The scene erupted after Sobchak chastised fascist Zhirinovsky for interrupting another candidate. Zhirinovsky responded with obscenities and said Sobchaks behavior was more fitting to a reality TV show she once presented.
The pair then exchanged words before Sobchak resorted to what she said were Zhirinovskys own methods and emptied a glass of water over him.
Zhirinovsky promised Russians a brutal dictatorship and said that he would punish the oligarchs, and everyone who steals, to return an estimated $1 trillion held offshore. He demanded that Putin become Czar and restore the Russian Empires borders of 1850i.e. with Alaska, Finland and Poland included.
Even Pavel Grudinin, the Communist Party candidate, saw the debate as an unworthy comedy. Im not going to participate in this, because youre the ones who keep people from coming to the polls because its a farce, he declared before walking off the set.
The only major result of the debates was to convince many viewers that Sobchak is not only visually more appealing, but also mentally superior to other candidates.
Putin, whose cronies orchestrated this circus, wisely distanced himself from the spectacle. His press secretary Dmitry Peskov implied that the president shows voters all they need to know by his deeds, not debates.
Putin, however, is actively campaigning in the provinces. Using nationalist slogans, he said he would reverse the collapse of the Soviet Union if given a chance to alter modern Russian history. A KGB officer in the Soviet era, Putin has called the 1991 demise of the Soviet Union the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the twentieth century. This view continues to strike a chord with millions of nostalgic older Russians. Ultimately, this is the reason why Putin will comfortably win re-election.
|Yuri Maltsev is professor of economics at Carthage College. He is the author of, Mass Murder and Public Slavery: The Soviet Experience, in the Fall 2017 issue of The Independent Review, the quarterly journal of the Independent Institute.|