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Research Article

Keeping It Simple
The Value of an Irreducibly Simple Climate Model



Richardson et al. (Sci Bull, 2015. doi:10.1007/s11434-015-0806-z) suggest that the irreducibly simple climate model described in Monckton of Brenchley et al. (Sci Bull 60:122–135, 2015. doi:10.1007/s11434-014-0699-2) was not validated against observations, relying instead on synthetic test data based on underestimated global warming, illogical parameter choice and near-instantaneous response at odds with ocean warming and other observations. However, the simple model, informed by its authors’ choice of parameters, usually hindcasts observed temperature change more closely than the general-circulation models, and finds high climate sensitivity implausible.

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David R. Legates is an Associate Professor and Director of the Center for Climatic Research at the University of Delaware and a Research Fellow at The Independent Institute in Oakland, Calif. He is also co-author of the Independent Institute monograph, New Perspectives in Climate Change: What the EPA Isn't Telling Us.

William M. Briggs has served as Professor of Statistics at the Cornell University Medical School, Visiting Professor of Mathematics at Central Michigan University, Research Scientist at New York Methodist Hospital, Statistician at DoubleClick, Meteorologist with the National Weather Service, and Cryptologist for the U.S. Air Force.

Christopher Monckton is the 3rd Viscount Monckton of Brenchley in the United Kingdom. He was Special Advisor to British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher from 1982 to 1986, and he has served as Secretary for the Centre for Policy Studies's economic, forward strategy, health and employment study groups; Deputy Leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP); and the UKIP's President in Scotland.

Wei-Hock "Willie" Soon is a solar astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics.






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