Now that the Greek public has thumbed its nose at Greeces international creditors by voting no in a referendum on their most recent bailout offer, negotiations with Greece on further bailouts should be summarily terminated. Alexis Tsipras, the leftist prime minister of Greece, was audaciously attempting to use the vote to strengthen his hand with these creditors. He was essentially slapping the face the people who are, in effect, giving his country money, because they are not giving enough! Its time to let Greece swing freely in the wind.
In the long term, this tough love policy will benefit Europe, the world financial system, and even Greece itself, although not without a lot of self-induced short-term pain. But wouldnt a Greek default on its debts and exiting of the euro currency cause domino effects with other financially weak countries that would cause disaster in the eurozone? That outcome is unlikely because the economies of Spain, Portugal, and Italy have improved somewhat and the European Central Bank has offered to do whatever it takes to support these nations by buying their bondsprobably also a mistake, but Spain and Portugal have at least made some substantial economic reforms, on which Greece is now reneging. So financial contagion from the total collapse of the small Greek economy, which has only 2 percent of the value of eurozone GDP, should be limited.
Other countries, such as Ireland, Latvia, and Slovakia, have also had to take their countries out of the dark age of overregulation and undergo painful government austerity programs that temporarily raised unemployment. If Greece is allowed to renege on the terms of its bailout, these other nations may also backslidefor example, Spains anti-austerity movement might also be strengthened.
Yet amazingly, leftist economists, such as Paul Krugman in his recent piece in The New York Times, foist the blame on international creditors for not validating Greeces long-standing gross financial irresponsibility by canceling some of its debt:
The campaign of bullyingthe attempt to terrify Greeks by cutting off bank financing and threatening general chaos, all with the almost open goal of pushing the current leftist government out officewas a shameful moment in a Europe that claims to believe in democratic principles. It would have set a terrible precedent if that campaign had succeeded, even if the creditors were making sense.
Whats more, they werent. The truth is that Europes self-styled technocrats are like medieval doctors who insisted on bleeding their patientsand when their treatment made the patients sicker, demanded even more bleeding. A yes vote in Greece [on the creditors proposed bailout] would have condemned the country to years more of suffering under policies that havent worked and in fact, given the arithmetic, cant work; austerity probably shrinks the economy faster than it reduces debt, so that all the suffering serves no purpose.
First of all, even if the creditors were trying to get rid of the irresponsible and arrogant Greek government, they are not; they just want to try to collect some of the money they are owedat this point, who could blame them? Also, Krugmans Keynesian economic orientation, which erroneously believes that government fiscal stimulus creates real prosperity in the private economy, wants to artificially prop up the Greek economy so that it can pay its debts. But in the long-run, real prosperity has to be earned by haircuts to still-expensive government programs, including pensionsthe Greeks are still high by Eastern European standardsand more economic reforms that deregulate the Greek economy and labor markets. Such short-term austerity is painful, but is the only thing that will return Greece to genuine economic growthrather than a temporary government sugar high of artificial prosperity, which makes things worse in the long term. Unfortunately, apparently the long-profligate Greeks need to learn this lesson the hard way.
And Americans may need to do so too if the dollar is ever stripped its status as the worlds reserve currency. That crutch has allowed the U.S. government to amass an ever-ballooning public debtwhich now stands at a gargantuan $18 trillion. And this status as an immense debtor nation could actually eventually trigger a flight from the dollar as the reserve currency to the currency of a creditor nation, such as the Chinese renminbi. Thus, Americans should learn from the calamity of Greek financial irresponsibility by curing their own in advanceby substantially cutting all government spending across the board (both defense and domestic spending)or face eventual financial cataclysm.
|Ivan Eland is Senior Fellow and Director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at the Independent Institute. Dr. Eland is a graduate of Iowa State University and received an M.B.A. in applied economics and Ph.D. in national security policy from George Washington University. He spent 15 years working for Congress on national security issues, including stints as an investigator for the House Foreign Affairs Committee and Principal Defense Analyst at the Congressional Budget Office.|
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