**Forthcoming review essay in The Independent Review: A Journal of Political Economy (Winter 2018)**
This essay is a response to the recent book, Democracy in Chains: The Deep History of the Radical Rights Stealth Plan for America, by my Duke University colleague, Nancy MacLean, a professor in our distinguished Department of History.
It is, let me say at the outset, a remarkable book.
At first I misunderstood its method. MacLean has argued persuasively throughout her career for the historical method. For example, in Debating the American Conservative Movement: 1945 to the Present (with Donald T. Critchlow), she writes: We hope this book will help students learn that the strongest, most tenable positions are arrived at through careful sifting of evidence and respectful encounters with opposing points of view (2009, viii).
So perhaps I can be forgiven for my misunderstanding of her method in this book. Early in Democracy in Chains, in a preface entitled A Quiet Deal in Dixie, MacLean recounts an exchange, a conversation really, between two conservatives. One is the president of a major southern university, the other is an academic worker intent on reverse-engineering a repressive sociopolitical order in America, working from the ground up, using shadowy methods and discredited theories.
The academic writes a proposal for a research center where these ideas can be given a pestilential foothold, a source of viral infection hidden in a legitimate academic setting. The goal, as MacLean tells it, was to begin a Fabian war to re-establish a repressive, plutocratic society ruled by oligarchs. MacLean has actually examined the founding documents, the letters in this exchange, and cites the shadowy academic as saying: I can fight this [democracy] . . . I want to fight this. (xv, emphasis in original reference).
In his proposal, the professor expands on the theme, which I quote directly from Democracy in Chains (xv, emphasis in original): Find the resources, he proposed to [the University President], for me to create a new center on the campus of the University . . . and I will use this center to create a new school of political economy and social philosophy. Wow! Thats pretty big stuff.
Except . . . theres something odd. The italicized text above is written in the first person and is also italicized in the original setting. But, the italicized passage has no quote marks. Its not footnoted.
I was curious about that omission, so I tracked down the founding documents themselves: Working Papers for Internal Discussion OnlyGeneral Aims (1959) and The Jefferson Center for Studies in Political Economy and Social Philosophy (1956) (both from Special Collections, University of Virginia Library, Charlottesville, Va.). And it turns out that the reason there are no quote marks, and no footnotes, is that this exchange, and in particular the first-person italicized portion, never actually took place. Its not a quote. No, seriously: Its not a quote. Its made up. Fabricated. Fictional.
MacLean, to her credit, never actually claims it is a quote, although a careless reader could be excused for thinking it was, given the first-person voice and the italics. Once I realized that this was the approach, the larger point became clear: Democracy in Chains is a work of speculative historical fiction. There is considerable research underpinning the speculation, and since MacLean is careful about footnoting only things that actually did happen she cannot be charged with fabricating facts. But most of the book, and all of its substantive conclusions, are idiosyncratic interpretations of the facts that she selects from a much larger record, as is common in the speculative-history genre. There is nothing wrong about speculation, of course, but there is nothing persuasive about it either, in terms of drawing reliable conclusions about history.
The reason that Democracy in Chains is remarkable is that it is such a great story. The evil mastermind of the secretive Public Choice movement, James M. Buchanan, was the winner of the 1986 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. MacLean is able to decode the true meaning of his mostly rather bland, academic-ese writings, after which Buchanan achieves the status of a Bond villain. Buchanan sought nothing less than to bring down the America we all love, and replace it with a plutocracy. The account is rendered plausible by MacLeans excellence as a writer.
The problem with history, of course, is that many narratives about a few cherry-picked events and documents are plausible. The task of the historian is to try to distinguish among plausible accounts through careful sifting of evidence and respectful encounters with opposing points of view. There is none of that here. Even a casual familiarity with the basic facts of James Buchanans life and scholarship, and of the growth and success of the Public Choice movement, reveal far simpler, and more plausible, explanations.
MacLean violates a fundamental principle of historical and philosophical biography: the principle of charity, which according to the esteemed philosopher Simon Blackburn (2016, 62) requires that the analyst must maximize the truth or rationality in the subjects sayings. There are several versions of this principle, analogous to Occams Razor in the sciences. The principle of charity requires that you take the claims, words, and arguments of a subject at face value, unless there is compelling direct evidence to the contrary.
So (quoting now from the actual founding document of the Jefferson Center at the University of Virginia) when Buchanan said he wanted to establish a center to preserve a social order built on individual liberty, and . . . as an educational undertaking in which students will be encouraged to view the organizational problems of society as a fusion of technical and philosophical issues, the researcher should not call this code and infer a desire for racial segregation. The words might just mean what they say.
But decoding and paraphrasing, rather than charitable quoting, is the organon of MacLeans book. Not of her other work, however, which as I have said is admirably academic and careful. Just this book. She examined some documents from the Buchanan archives, which by her own account (xviixx) were so poorly organized that no systematic review was possible.
MacLean decided a systematic review wasnt necessary, because she found what she needed. For example, on page 66 of Democracy in Chains, we learn of the attempt by segregationist forces to support vouchers. MacLean says, The economists made their case in the race-neutral, value-free language of their discipline, offering what they depicted as a strictly economic argumenton matters of fact, not values. MacLean quotes nothing that would cleanly support the claim that Buchanan advocated vouchers for the purpose of achieving segregation.
The problem is that this view does not withstand even minor scrutiny as an actual account of Buchanan or Public Choice. Buchanans support for vouchers and for school choice arose from a deeply held concern for individual liberty. In fact, since the theme of Democracy in Chains is that Buchanan opposed majority will, the example of desegregation seems an odd choice for MacLean to emphasize. It was after all desegregation that was imposed, at the point of a bayonet, at the command of an anti-majoritarian institution, the Supreme Court. The electoral majority in Arkansas, and in rural Florida where I grew up, and in much of the South, strongly preferred a repressive apartheid society where African-Americans were denied the basic rights guaranteed to all U.S. citizens.
How might MacLean justify occupation by federal troops and for forcible desegregation, against the express will of democratic majorities? Its easy: forcible desegregation was justified because segregation had itself been achieved by forcethe illegitimate force of majorities! Jim Crow was a majority rule policy. The Constitution, or at least the Bill of Rights and Amendments 13-15, exist precisely to suppress the murderous and racist impulses of majorities.
Of course, this leaves us to argue about which impulses of majorities pass constitutional muster, and which must be forcibly suppressed, as in Little Rock, by heavily armed troops. That seems like an important debate. MacLean may disagree with Buchanans position, and that would be useful. But MacLeans core claim throughout the book is that majorities are always right. But it was Brown v. Board of Education, not majorities, that sparked school desegregation.
Buchanans work certainly did have a perspective. He opposed state monopoly of education, but he was certainly not opposed to state participation in education. In fact, in the very document in MacLean cites (Buchanan and Nutter, 1959, 1) we can find this:
The case for universal education is self-evident: a democracy cannot function without an informed and educated citizenry....If education is to be universal, compulsion must be exercised by government - that is, by the collective organ of society - since some parents might choose to keep their children out of school. For similar reasons, minimum standards of education must be determined by government. Otherwise, the requirement of education is empty and meaningless...
The principle of charity would require at a minimum that a scholar not fabricate a set of evil motives that happen to fit an ideologically motivated narrative, but rather should take the argument as a possibly mistaken, but sincere expression of professed goals. In this case, however, Buchanan clearly says he favors state regulation and financing of education. In fact, he favored something that might surprise many observers: a confiscatory estate tax (Brennan and Munger, 2014, 337). MacLeans description is more than uncharitable; it is grossly inaccurate.
On the other hand, and to her credit, MacLean has discovered a number of important documents from the history of Public Choice, and other aspects of the history of the 1960s and 1970s in academic economic circles. There is a terrific example on pp. 115117, where the glee of Buchanan and others about their conspiracy, gathered around a roaring fire in the remote mountains of Virginia, is documented. Buchanan said that what the cause needed was to create, support, and activate an effective counter-intelligentsia to begin to change the way people think about government.
But some nuance is in order. I can imagine Buchanan saying just those things, and everyone present laughing at his sarcastic use of Marxist language and imagery. But notice that there was no swearing to secrecy; there was no claim that the goals of the movement should be hidden. In fact, Buchanan actually said, If a history of the . . . movement is ever written, it can talk about origins in a log cabin deep in the Virginia mountains. Friends, MacLean has in fact written that history, using easily available public documents that no one has made any effort to disguise or destroy.
This wasnt a conspiracy; like anyone trying to establish an academic school, Buchanan very much hoped that the movement would sweep the nation, and the world. Another of my Duke colleagues, Fredric Jameson (1982, 75), used similar language:
I happen to think that no real systemic change in this country will be possible without the minimal first step of the achievement of a social democratic movement; and in my opinion even that first step will not be possible without two other preconditions (which are essentially the same thing): namely the creation of a Marxist intelligentsia, and that of a Marxist culture, a Marxist intellectual presence, which is to say, the legitimation of Marxist discourse as that of a realistic social and political alternative in a country which (unlike most of the other countries in the world) has never recognized it as such.
If you think that the current system is bad and getting worse, then you hope to start a movement. That movement is likely to be accelerated by (1) the existence of an educated cadre, and (2) the legitimation of that sort of discourse, so that it is academically acceptable to have such discussions. So, while Buchanan and Jameson disagree about almost everything else, they agreed about what was required for changing society in the direction that they honestly thought would be useful for society.
An Alternative Plausible Interpretation
I am, in important ways, handicapped here when it comes to speculating. I actually know a lot about Public Choice as an academic discipline, and I have more than thirty years experience in working with James Buchanans body of written research. My background sharply restricts the set of plausible, interesting accounts I can give of the subject, because I am constrained by in-depth knowledge of it.
In fairness, then, and in the interests of full disclosure, I should note some issues.
- James Buchanan was a friend of mine, and I am a great admirer of his academic work. I have written several papers extending and critiquing his work.
- Buchanan was not a racist. He did not favor the disenfranchisement of groups, and he was very much worried about the use of military and police power to repress citizen voices. Buchanans main concern is what philosophers call political authority, or moral justification for the use of violence against citizens and against foreigners. Against the backdrop of the events of the 1960s this concern puts him not on the fringes but well in the mainstream of American liberalism.
- My 2015 book Choosing in Groups is a transparently and self-consciously Buchananite undertaking.
- Much of my own academic standing and reputation rests on the success and vitality of the Public Choice enterprise. In fact, I am a past president (19961998) of the Public Choice Society, an academic society with members from twenty countries, which Buchanan helped found and in which he actively participated until the time of his death in January 2013.
- Finally, I have myself in some small way contributed to the direction and vetting of what Public Choice is, having served as an editor of the journal Public Choice (20052010).
In short, then, the reader should be aware that I have a stake in the academic respectability of Buchanans work, and of the Public Choice movement. I think I can also defend that position on its merits, and I would hope that actual knowledge of the subject will not be seen as disqualifying.
The thesis of Democracy in Chains is as follows (its a book, it has many aspects and sub-arguments, so what follows oversimplifies):
- The political right felt that it was losing, both politically and in the culture wars, after about 1960 and certainly after the utter collapse of the Republicans in the presidential race of 1964.
- A number of leading figures of the right recognized the importance of creating an intellectual program to animate and legitimate the (likely long and slow) resurrection of conservative values.
- It happened that one scholar, James Buchanan, revealed a combination of intellectual creativity and rock-ribbed conservative values. The right came to settle on Buchanan as their Messiah. Funding poured in, to support the Buchanan program. In particular, the Charles G. Koch Foundation directly supported Buchanan, and Buchanans work would have been ignored without this support.
- That intellectual program, the Public Choice movement, appears to highlight innocuous American values such as individual liberty and responsibility. But in fact, it is a recipe for constructing a repressive system that replaces majority rule with an oligarchy of the wealthy.
When summarized in this way, MacLeans thesis really does read like a plot line that Ian Fleming rejected for a Bond novel: No, thats nuts. Lets go back to the idea where a nuclear missile blows up the moon and changes the orbit of the Earth, causing earthquakes that allow recovery of hidden oil reserves and diamonds. Thats more plausible. Nevertheless, the narrative thread connecting the documents and discussions that MacLean has selected from the much larger and more equivocal record does indeed have this structure, and that is what we are evaluating.
I think we should stipulate that the premises of the argument, number 1 and number 2 above, are neither surprising nor novel. After the defeat of Barry Goldwater in 1964, conservatives panicked. Several groups met to strategize about how to win back the White House and rejuvenate the conservative movement, as anyone would expect in an adversarial political system.
Fair enough. But then the idea that Nixons southern strategy comes from James Buchanan is absurd nonsense; there were plenty of strategists who had the idea. If Lyndon Johnson actually said, I think we just delivered the South to the Republican Party for a long time to come, after he signed the Civil Rights Act in 1964, it is unlikely that he had gleaned that insight from Buchanan.
The contribution of Democracy in Chains, then, is to do two things, number 3 and number 4 in my list: Identify James Buchanan as the focal point of the revolution, and identify the content of Public Choice research and teaching as anti-Constitutional and anti-democratic. I will discuss Buchanan as focal point briefly, and then spend more time on Public Choice.
Buchanan as Focal Point
James Buchanan was a tireless, real nose to the grindstone kind of guy. As Geoffrey Brennan, Buchanans coauthor on three books, discussed in an interview (Buchanan, 2001), Buchanan made an effort to be in the office early, to stay late, and to work all the time in between. He generally worked on Saturday, and expected others to do the same. He also attended many academic meetings, and was active in the organization of conferences and symposia, including meetings sponsored by a variety of academic groups (including the National Science Foundation).
Buchanan also attended meetings sponsored by groups whose goals focused on free and responsible individual citizens. As a methodological individualist, he was concerned that concepts of we or collective goals or aggregate concepts in macroeconomics were scientifically misleading. Political science and economics, in this view, should always start with individuals. MacLean actually cites Public Choice scholar Pierre Lemieux as saying, The Public Choice revolution rings the death knell of the political we. Of course, Lemieuxs statement appears in a magazine, and it was an argument about the correct approach to understanding phenomena in political economy. MacLean seems to think she has uncovered a secret, even though Lemieuxs quote comes from Regulation, a widely read, refereed publication, because she has never met anyone who argued that starting ones analysis with collectives is a methodological mistake.
It happens that Duke Universitys Department of Political Science is located on Dukes main campus, in Durham, N.C., and is listed in the phone book. Anyone at Duke who wanted to find it would have no difficulty doing so. Further, the department has important resources for any scholar with a serious interest in researching James Buchanan. The department has two past presidents of the Public Choice Society (Geoffrey Brennan and Michael Munger), and one current president (Georg Vanberg). We are not fringe members of the Duke community; I was chair of Political Science for ten years, Vanberg is the current chair, and Brennan was the long-time Director of the Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Program. Additionally, and perhaps most importantly, Geoff Brennan was the long-time associate of Buchanan, producing three major coauthored books, more than ten journal articles, and two major edited works that dealt with Buchanans overall contributions to political science and philosophy.
In short, I would expect that a sophomore undergraduate who was writing a paper on Buchanan, even a one-off paper for a classroom assignment, would have recognized the value in consulting Brennan, at a minimum, and probably also Vanberg (who was a family friend of Buchanan since childhood). But neither Brennan nor Vanberg were ever consulted, nor even contacted, by MacLean. Nor, if it matters, was I.
The reason this matters is that all three of us, Brennan, Munger, and Vanberg, can attest that Buchanan was extremely cautious about the propriety of taking money from sources that attached any kinds of strings or conditions to a grant. Most particularly, in terms of the narrative in Democracy in Chains, James Buchanan never accepted funds directly from the Charles G. Koch Foundation, if those funds had any sort of ideological condition or litmus test.
The reason that this point is important is that the new favorite parlor game of the academic political left is Six Degrees of Charles Koch (much like the Kevin Bacon version but not nearly as fun). If it can be shown that the Koch Foundation contributed to an organization, which gave a donation to another group, which in turn supported yet another . . . well, you get the idea. If a researcher can establish that there is any connection between a scholar and Koch money, that scholar can simply be dismissed. Notice how problematic this trope is: one doesnt have to react to the ideas or arguments of the opponent, if she can establish Six Degrees of Charles Koch.
To see how silly this game is, consider: Duke University has received a wide variety of different kinds of support from the Charles Koch Foundation over the past decades, and the total amount received is considerable. This means that Professor Nancy MacLean works for a Koch-Funded Institution called Duke University. (In the game, Koch funding, no matter what the amount, taints the whole institution.)
But then, by the rules, Democracy in Chains should be readily dismissed, because it was produced by a scholar at a Koch-funded institution. Now, MacLean would (plausibly) object that you cant dismiss all the work just because of one source of support. You would have to read the work to decide if it had merit. Anything else would be embarrassingly shoddy scholarship.
Yet it is quite clear that MacLean has not read Buchanans substantive work. To be fair, few people have; Liberty Funds Collected Works of James Buchanan (2001) runs to nineteen large volumes. To be fair, however, many people have pretended that they can read the mind of a scholar without reading the work of that scholar, based simply on the source of funding. But you cant have it both ways: either Koch-Funded is cause for dismissal, in which case MacLeans book is useless right-wing propaganda, or you do have to read the work, and Koch-Funded tells you nothing about the content of the work or its merit.
As for Buchanan being a focal point of scholarship or political action, its hard to evaluate that claim. Again, I wish it were so, and I have tried very hard to make it so, in my own writing (Dow and Munger, 1990). One book coauthored by Buchanan, The Calculus of Consent (1962), is commonly assigned on graduate reading lists in political science. Its impact has been much smaller in economics, as Buchanans work has not made it outside the Public Economics literature (except for the work on clubs).
Still, it is difficult to say whether Buchanan has become a focal point for organizing around the ideas of Public Choice. Lets suppose, for the sake of argument, that he has. The real question, then, the crux of the matter, is the content of the ideas of Public Choice. MacLean has no training in Public Choice, had only spotty and incomplete access to the files of the archive, which in 2013 was not yet organized (Buchanan died in January 2013), and chose not to avail herself of the fact that the nearby Duke Political Science department is a world center for the study of Public Choice. Rather than attempt a point-by-point correction of MacLeans clumsy, misleading, and superficial summary of Public Choice, it is useful to offer my own summary, in case the reader is actually interested in Buchanans view of Public Choice. The reader interested only in historical fiction is, of course, welcome to stick with MacLeans alternative version.
Democracy, Public Choice, and the Problem of Limits
Buchanan did not believe in unlimited majority rule. But then, as Buchanan often rightly said, nobody believes in unlimited majority rule. Democracy is and must be a balancing of, on the one hand, the rights of minorities, and, on the other, the ability of the majority to have its way within the domain established as political by the constitution. Thats another thing that is remarkable about Democracy in Chains: MacLean does not assign Buchanan a straw man position. She (correctly) gives Buchanans position as being the mainstream view, the one that everyone actually agrees with. And then she tries to defend the straw man position, the one that no one actually believes. Remarkable.
The position she assigns Buchanan is this: He thought that democracy should be limited, to protect minorities. Um . . . okay. Yes, thats right. We all believe that. As an illustration, I often ask my undergraduate students at Duke if they favor democracy. Being catechized in the notion that democracy simply means good government, they all raise their hands.
Then I ask, How many of you think that the 1973 Supreme Court decision, Roe v. Wade, should be overturned? None of them, or maybe sometimes one student, will raise his or her hand. Then I ask, What would happen if Roe v. Wade were overturned? One student may venture, Abortion would be illegal? NO! I say loudly. Democracy would break out! What Roe v. Wade does is limit the ability of voting majorities to impose their collective will on the lawful choices of individual women. If the decision were overturned, we would have unlimited majority rule, and many states would prohibit abortion. The role of the courts, and the constitutional rights they interpret, is precisely to limit democracy (if by democracy you mean majority rule).
Students (and MacLean, apparently) have never considered the problem of constitutions that was the center of Buchanans thought. We need to balance two considerations: the will of majorities and the rights of minorities. The U.S. Constitution is explicitly anti-majoritarian, in terms of its establishment of a court system that later developed judicial review to thwart majority will, as in the case of Roe v. Wade, as well as in its use of the republican form of selecting representatives in prescribed ways.
The Constitution explicitly and intentionally limits the domain of majority rule to the areas of life where collective coercion is justified. In my home state of North Carolina, a majority of citizens voted in 2012 to prevent same-sex couples from marrying. Many progressive politicians and citizens felt strongly that the power of majorities must be limited, and that the rights of minoritiesin this case, members of the LGBTQ communityto same-sex marriage must be protected. Notice what same-sex marriage was being protected against: majority rule.
Now, I have no idea what MacLeans views were on the 2012 vote on North Carolinas Amendment 1, so I can only speak for myself. A large majority of citizens (62 percent of voters) favored making same-sex marriage unconstitutional. I argued, in dozens of public debates, radio shows, and other forums, that there is a fundamental right to a civil union form of contract, and that if the state gives such rights of contract to any couples, then it is obliged to offer them to all.
You may disagree with my claim, of course; thats not the point. The point is that my perspectivethe power of majorities must be sharply limitedeventually was validated by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, in effect declaring that all such restrictions on same-sex marriage violate the U.S. Constitution. Were these limits on majorities part of a scheme for subverting American democracy? My progressive colleagues didnt think so; the majority-bashing was widely celebrated by the political left. And, to be fair, by me. Because I firmly believe, as did James Buchanan for the same reasons, that majorities are often wrong, are often repressive, and must be constrained by the Constitution.
It is remarkable that MacLean sets up her argument as being in opposition to this claim. She is incensed by the argument that real democracy requires majorities to be shackled (as her title suggests) in chains. Of course it does. That is one of the core premises of liberalism, that the rights of minorities must be protected. In fact, we all agree (there may be some exceptions, but Im not aware of many serious ones) that majorities must be limited: even if the white majority wants to maintain an apartheid system of schools and public accommodations, they must be prevented from doing so.
It is plausible to protest, of course, that the real question is where these limitations on majorities should bind, but that is not the core of MacLeans argument. It is the fact that Buchanan wanted to limit majorities at all that she finds offensive. Remarkable.
Buchanans argument was simply that democracy must balance the rights of individuals and the power of majorities. Democracy must, in this sense, be limited. Where the limit should be placed is a perfectly legitimate object of academic discussion. But the fact that there should be a limit is a core premise of liberalism. Why does MacLean pretend that limiting majority rule is controversial, or that anyone who would advocate limits on majorities opposes the Constitution? The Constitution itselfas Buchanan often arguedis the most important protection we have against majorities.
The answer is that there is substantial disagreement about where majorities should be limited, and where majorities should be allowed to impose coercive force on minorities, without the consent of the minority. MacLean likely disagrees about the limits that Buchanan, and many other Public Choice thinkers, would impose. And thats fair enough, as a basis for honest political disagreement. To understand why in fact the Public Choice approach would make these arguments, Im afraid I must spend some time explaining the basic arguments made by Public Choice theorists (for a longer review of Public Choice and Buchanans contributions to it, see Munger 2017). The summary given by MacLean is quite sparse, and selects only a few extreme aspects. It is important to get the whole story.
Public Choice has three core premises: methodological individualism, behavioral symmetry, and politics as exchange. (For a much more in-depth introduction to Public Choice, with examples, please look at Randy Simmonss very accessible treatment in Beyond Politics, 2011).
The origins of the notion of methodological individualism may be the work of Thomas Hobbes, who saw societies of chaotic particles bashing into each other. The institutions the society chooses can affect the way the particles behave, but it is still the individual particles behaving. The assumption of methodological individualism need not have any ethical content, and it is not an exclusive claim for the correct approach to modeling social activity. But, as Max Weber (1922, 13) said, it is a useful starting point:
[It may] be convenient or even indispensable to treat social collectivities, such as states, associations, business corporations, as if they were individual persons. Thus they may be treated as the bearers of rights and duties or as the performers of legally significant actions. But for the subjective understanding of action in sociology these collectivities must be treated as solely the resultants and context of the particular acts of individual persons, since an individual alone is the subjective bearer of meaningful oriented action. . . .
It is a tremendous misunderstanding to think that an individualistic method should involve what is in any conceivable sense an individualistic system of values.
On the day after the announcement of the 1986 Nobel Prize, Alistair Cooke of the BBC, in his Letter from America, said: Public Choice rests on the homely but important observation that politicians are, after all, no different than the rest of us (Brennan and Lomasky 1993, 2). That is, people are people; they arent one thing in the grocery and something else in the voting booth.
Of course, differences in incentives and institutional context may cause differences in the behavior we observe, but then those differences should be attributed to the differences in incentives and context, not to differences in motivation. Thats all that behavioral symmetry means. It is clear that Buchanans view is the same as Swedish economist Knut Wicksells on this count, although it is likely that Buchanan had himself reached this conclusion before finding it vindicated in the earlier work. As Wicksell (1958, 8687) put it:
[N]either the executive nor the legislative body, and even less the deciding majority in the latter, are in reality . . . what the ruling theory tells us they should be. They are not pure organs of the community with no thought other than to promote the common weal.
[M]embers of the representative body are, in the overwhelming majority of cases, precisely as interested in the general welfare as are their constituents, neither more nor less.
In other words, motivations are fundamentally the same. There is no reason to expect that behavior will be identical, but we cant simply assume that people acting as politicians are motivated by altruism whereas the same people acting in the marketplace are motivated by greed. Second, and more importantly, the modelling approach we analysts take should start with the idea that observed differences can be explained by economic and institutional variables acting through essentially the same preferences, rather than simply invoking different preferences at the outset.
Politics as Exchange
Many observers have thought, and for that matter still think, that Public Choice starts and ends with behavioral symmetry, and of course methodological individualism is common in economics generally. But many people miss the importance of the third element, politics as exchange. Buchanan tried to explain that politics as exchange is actually central to Public Choice analysis (from the Buchanan and Brennan 2001 interview, part 1, at 8:30):
First, the claim that politicians and bureaucrats are simply like the rest of us . . . There are . . . more saints in politics than in commerce . . . If you start thinking about politics that way, then you have a very empty type of theory. So you have to try to explain political structure, political order, from some kind of perspective that will give you something other than an empty theory . . . At some ultimate level, people must enter into politics for mutual gain, there must be a shared benefit from being involved in organized governments.
So what must be added to the politics without romance piece is the idea that politics is in some ultimate sense an exchange process. You have to enter into a shared enterprise with other people. Without that, you have no means of justifying any political coercion of one person by another person.
[Otherwise] You have no hope...Its a counsel of despair....
You have to be very skeptical about the motivations, about the behavior of politicians and bureaucrats. But also recognize that in fact there can be gains to all of us from sharing in a political enterprise. And we . . . can construct schemes whereby everybody benefits. Everybody puts in and everybody benefits. What I would call a Madisonian element needs to be added to make Public Choice work.
This approach has important implications for a vexing chicken and egg problem: which came first, markets or government? Buchanan rather deftly finesses this problem, by defining politics as preceding either markets or government. The answer is that exchange came first:
[B]asic political exchange, the conceptual contract under which the constitutional order is itself established, must precede any meaningful economic interaction. Orderly trade in private goods and services can take place only within a defined legal structure that establishes individuals rights of ownership and control of resources, that enforces private contracts, and that places limits on the exercise of governmental powers . . . Even within a well-defined and functioning legal order, political exchange necessarily involves all members of the relevant community rather than the two trading partners that characterize economic exchange. (Buchanan, 1979; 50; emphasis original.)
This kind of cooperation, involving exchange, means that the agreement or contract involves non-market institutions and the mechanism of coercion is collective. This problem of collective action is of course of ancient vintage; a clear antecedent is David Humes description:
Two neighbours may agree to drain a meadow, which they possess in common; because tis easy for them to know each others mind; and each must perceive, that the immediate consequence of his failing in his part, is, the abandoning the whole project. But tis very difficult, and indeed impossible, that a thousand persons shoud agree in any such action; it being difficult for them to concert so complicated a design, and still more difficult for them to execute it; while each seeks a pretext to free himself of the trouble and expence, and woud lay the whole burden on others. (Hume, 1978, 538).
There is a mutual benefit, a Pareto improvement, from cooperation. For Buchanan, politics is a means for groups to overcome the transactions costs of negotiating and enforcing agreements in groups too large to foster Coasian (Coase, 1960) bargaining arrangements. Since, in the absence of coercion, many individuals would free-ride, a prior agreement on procedures and enforcement is necessary for the gains from cooperation to be available to the group. Hence, politics as exchange is actually a way of justifying coercion: there is consent by the governed, then coercion is permitted. Again, this is actually the orthodox position, appearing nearly verbatim in the Declaration of Independence: That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed. And, again, the unorthodox and extreme position would appear to be MacLeans alleging that majorities have unlimited license to impose coercion on minorities.
Having summarized the general Public Choice approach, it is important to describe Buchanans particular contributions and examine the idiosyncrasies of his approach.
Buchanans Particular Approach
To have any clear conception of what Buchanan was trying to accomplish, it is important to examine four premises of his approach. These four are philosophical anarchism, ethical neutrality, subjectivism, and (crucially, though often confusingly) the relatively absolute absolutes.
The very center of Buchanans political philosophy was the problem of authority. When can one person, or group, legitimately coerce someone? Or, as Jean-Jacques Rousseau (1973, Book IV, Chapter 2) put it, How can a man be free and yet subject to wills not his own? Buchanan thought that there was a problem, but that the problem had a solution. His premise, as I discussed earlier, is that no source of authority outside of the individual is sufficient to justify coercion, whether it be revelation, natural law, right reason, or the state. On the other hand, the individuals consent is always binding, because otherwise autonomous individuals cannot then make binding agreements.
There are two distinct notions of philosophical anarchism: one holds that it is impossible to justify state coercion; the other argues that no fully satisfactory argument for justification has yet been given. In a way, almost everyone is a philosophical anarchist, in the sense that they believe there are some orders given by states that individuals are not morally obliged to obey, and thatcontra the Eichmann Defense (I was just following orders)they are not morally permitted to obey.
Buchanan would argue that informed consent, freely given, does oblige compliance. But requiring unanimity for every choice or decision is too high a standard. Instead, consent is given at the level of rules or procedures. Consent to rules then obliges compliance to outcomes, as long as those rules are followed.
How would this vision of liberty work, according to Buchanan?
To the individualist, the ideal or Utopian world is necessarily anarchistic in some basic philosophical sense. This world is peopled exclusively by persons who respect the minimal set of behavioral norms dictated by mutual tolerance and respect. Individuals remain free to do their own things within such limits, and cooperative ventures are exclusively voluntary. Persons retain the freedom to opt out of any sharing arrangements which they might join. No man holds coercive power over any other man, and there is no impersonal bureaucracy, military or civil, that imposes external constraint. (Buchanan, 1975, 3)
The point is that by Buchanans standardand taking his philosophical anarchism aloneit is not clear that any nation or state ever met his requirements for justifying political authority, in terms of ideal theory. But he remedies this problem in practical terms through a combination of this ethical neutrality and relatively absolute absolutes. Buchanan was not an anarchist.
One of the most subtle, and for some readers frustrating, aspects of Buchanans approach is that he generally advocated accepting the existing distribution of wealth and power. Changes in the status quo require something like unanimity to modify that distribution. Of course, even this requirement could be elided, if the relatively absolute absolutes dictated change. As Buchanan said in 2001:
You start with the idea that coercion is never justified in advance, on any grounds. Unless you can bring in some transcendental purpose, how can you justify coercion? Unless Gods rules, or right reason, or [some a priori doctrine] justifies force, you cant have coercion. If you say, No, values start with us, start with the individuals, then how can one individual legitimately coerce another? (Buchanan and Brennan, 2001, part I, at 14:10)
This neutrality might be summarized in one of Buchanans stock phrases: You have to start from where you are. This is a commitment to the status quo, but (as is noted by Brennan, 2015, 8) the status quo commitment is contractarian, not conservative.
Buchanan often insists that any normatively guided actionany attempt at improvementmust start from where we are. At one level, this claim could be read as a simple analytical requirement: it is difficult to imagine how one could start from anywhere else! But in Buchanans hands the requirement has a more normative cast. It is a feature of his contractarian approach that normative desirability is grounded in agreementwith the natural thought that individuals will not agree to changes that make them worse off (all things considered).
The notion of starting at the status quo is a big advantage in terms of making Buchanans approach more practical, because the nature of the consent required to accomplish his object of qualified unanimity requires only that changes to the rules, not the rules themselves, must be negotiated.
Interestingly, Buchanans commitments to subjectivism might be interpreted as self-ownership with equal validity. The rather tepid claim that individuals are the best judges of their own welfare is actually quite radical if we carry it out as a public policy. But this is in keeping with Buchanans view of the primacy of the individual: no one can be coerced.
The way this cashes out is rather surprising, in much of Buchanans work. He had strong views about the good society and the ways state power should be limited. But he also thought that will of the group was paramount. In the interview with Brennan (Buchanan, 2001) he goes as far as to say that socialist society would be justified, if there was a consensus in favor of that arrangement. It is the agreement that justifies coercion, in Buchanans contractarian view.
This makes MacLeans misrepresentation of the meaning of self interest in Public Choice all the more strange. On p. 99, she says about Public Choicie: ...in their assumption that individuals always acted to advance their personal economic self interest rather than collective goals or the common good, Buchanans school went further, projecting unseemly motives onto strangers about whom they knew nothing. Buchanan doesnt do that. He thought people made subjective judgments, and those judgments might well be altruistic or almost anything else. Im afraid MacLean herself is doing what she decries in others.
The Relatively Absolute Absolutes
I think that many listeners, when they heard Buchanan mention his notion of relatively absolute absolutes, would laugh, thinking he must be kidding. He was not.
I couldnt live without the Relatively Absolute Absolutes. It gets me out of lot of jams. It gets me off of lot of hooks, too! But its a concept . . . that I picked up directly from Frank Knight and Henry Simons. . . . It prevents the necessity of taking a position either as a relativist in all respects or as an absolutist. I am neither . . . its an in-between position . . .
There are some moral values that have been in existence a long time, that have been proved by the test of history . . . [It] is best to live our ordinary lives by treating those as relatively absolute absolutes . . .
[But] they are not beyond examination; nothing is sacrosanct. At one level of our existence you can evaluate those, you can say Are they really as stable, authoritative, or unchallengeable as they might seem? We can challenge them in the academy; thats the job of the academy . . . But at the same time that is not just going out and saying anything goes, at all. So it gets you off that terrible problem of becoming [a relativist or an absolutist in moral theory]. I am neither. (Buchanan and Brennan interview, 2001; part 2 at 27:00)
In fact, in some ways the Relatively Absolute Absolutes summarize much of what is overarching and unifying about Buchanans whole worldview. He was very sympathetic to natural rights theories, and was persuaded that the libertarian philosophy was correct, while at the same insisting that groups are sovereign and that no outside force, be it revelation, law, or custom, could restrict what they could commit to collectively. It is tempting to think that he was a natural rights theorist, or a pure contractarian. But he was neither. He was a Burkean, without being a conservative, because he would have disagreed with Burke that all traditions and all the wisdom handed down from the past is actually wise.
The Great Chilean Bugaboo
Space prevents me from considering many other aspects of Buchanans career, his thought, and the connections to various movements or groups discussed in Democracy in Chains. But there is one other connection made by MacLean, in Chapter 10, that does bear a specific response. This is the allegation that James Buchanan materially participated in the overall structure, and in the particular writing, of the Chilean Constitution of 1980, imposed in a heavily managed plebiscite where voters approved the new set of rules.
The reader interested in the particulars of Buchanans experience in Chile in 1981 should consult Andrew Farrant and Vlad Tarkos excellent 2015 paper, The Devils Fix: James M. Buchanan and the Pinochet Junta. The short version is that, unfortunately for MacLean (and for me!), Buchanan had essentially no role in the writing of the Chilean Constitution, and in fact was critical of the regime and its actions. And his criticism grew organically out of his previous work. As Farrant and Tarko (2015, 15) note:
[W]hile any member of a political body can reasonably expect that collective decisions will be made which occasionally run counter to their interests, their membership of the polity may still remain preferable due to the overall benefits associated with membership. Nevertheless, to assure that such overall benefits are adequately secured, it is necessary to impose constitutional limits on the exercise of power and provide constitutional guarantees of various individual rights. As Buchanan [1977, 16] noted, [p]ersons who could not, at a time of contract, predict their own positions would never agree to grant unrestricted political authority to any group, whether it be a duly elected majority of a parliament, a judicial elite, or a military junta.
Buchanan was a Rawlsian on this point; a military regime could never be justified, as Farrant and Tarko demonstrate in depth. They continue (2015, 18, references for internal quotes omitted):
Buchanan had long insisted that any non-constitutional revolutionany coercively imposed program of libertarianism from abovemerely invited counterrevolution . . . [and] a continuing zero or negative-sum power sequence. Similarly, Buchanans mid-late 1980s writings further distanced himself from MPS defenders of enlightened dictatorship. For instance, in the Reason of Rules, Buchanan and Brennan emphasized that they sought a genuinely non-coercive and voluntary resolution of the generalized social dilemma that seems to describe modern politics, and they make it abundantly clear that their analysis excludes from consideration all non-democratic revolutions, constitutional or otherwise.
This is unfortunate for MacLean, because it pulls the rug from under many of the speculations that make up Chapter 10. In fact, Six Degrees of Pinochet is almost as big a parlor game for progressive academics as Six Degrees of Charles Koch. Sorry, folks. Nothing to see here; Buchanan had no practical impact on the Chilean Constitution.
Its unfortunate for me because, as a long-time scholar of Chile, its constitution, and its political system, I genuinely wish Buchanan had had a role in writing it. To understand why, you would need to know something about political science. Let me explain.
The Chilean Constitution of 1980
Chile had a military coup in 1973. Now, Chile had previous coups, and military coups were fairly common in Latin America. The 1973 coup, ultimately controlled by Commander in Chief of the Army Augusto Pinochet, was repressive, often murderous. The regime had certain goals, and chose economic and political measures in support of these goals. This raises an interesting ethical question: If an outsider helped the regime achieve those goals, was that outsider complicit in the regimes repressive and murderous nature?
The Chilean people also had goals. These included transitioning away from a murderous military regime to a functioning democracy, and having their country be restored to its place among the free nations of the world. In some ways, the goals of the regime and the goals of Chiles people coincided. Perhaps because of the long tradition of military deference to civilian authority in Chile, or perhaps to ease economic and other sanctions, the junta wanted to restore democracy.
The problem was that too much democracy, too fast, would almost certainly mean another military coup. There is a fundamental theorem of political science, often associated with the work of Barry Weingast of Stanford University; we might call it the proportionality theorem. If paper institutions, such as constitutions, attempt to create a de jure distribution of power that differs from the de facto distribution of power on the ground, there will be violence. And the resulting conflict is likely to be won by those who possess de facto power. (See, for example, Weingast, 20089, and North, Wallis, and Weingast, 2009).
In the case of Chile, this theorem meant that the military still controlled actual power, regardless of what the constitution or the laws might say. This control is simply a fact of life in nations attempting to make the transition to democracy; we recently saw it play out in Egypt, when Mohamed Morsi tried to assert powers that he thought the constitution afforded him. The military thought that it was time for a new government, and they had some folksthemselvesin mind. As a result, the Arab Spring and all the hopes of Tahrir Square ended on the points of the armys bayonets.
We might wish it were otherwise, but its a fact of democratic transitions: the existing distribution of power must be recognized, and committed to, by the constitution. Actually, its an application of Buchanans We Start from Where We Are maxim, because you cant start anywhere else. The Chilean problem was clear: if full power had been given by the new constitution to the new democratically elected government (which would be selected by a Si o No plebiscite in 1988, an election in 1989, and the installation of a new government in 1989), there would likely be an immediate move toward a Truth Tribunal, with arrests and trials of military leaders and the middle-level officer who had carried out the murder, torture, and repression of 1973 to 1976.
Its easy to argue, from the outside or from the perspective of decades later in time, that this is just what should have happened. But it wouldnt have happened. If Chile had had a good constitution, there would have been a coup, as military leaders protected themselves. Chile would not be a democracy. Barry Weingast has made this argument with various coauthors, and other political scientists have recognized this same problem of credible commitment, in a variety of published writings. I myself first worked in Chile as a consultant in the 1989 presidential election, and saw firsthand both that the election was free and fair (it was won by moderate leftist Patricio Aylwin) and that the constitution was very much resented as being unfair. But if the constitution had been different, there would have been no election, or the election results would have been repudiated and a military junta immediately restored.
The people of Chile needed help escaping from the military regime. A constitution must foster a move to democracy, and free and fair elections, but also avoid a military coup. It would serve no one to have had a constitution that allowed an immediate transfer of power, and a Truth Tribunal had been convened, followed by arrests of top military officers. That is frustrating, because they clearly deserved it. But the only way to get from military regime to functioning democracy was the way they did it.
In terms of Democracy in Chains, then, the following points must be made in response. First, its true that Chile had a grossly unfair and undemocratic constitution, imposed essentially at gunpoint, in 1980. Second, Buchanan had no practical role in the writing, or the form, of that constitution. Third, and most important, Chiles constitution was actually a good constitution, because it allowed the transition to democracy. (See Weingast 2014.) It is of course unjust that the killers and torturers of the regime escaped punishment. But politics is the art of the possible. Chile needed a way to move to free and fair elections, and stable democratic government. And it has done that.
Final Thoughts: A Digression on Method
At the beginning of this essay, I claimed that the method MacLean uses in Democracy in Chains is historical fiction, an informed account of the general outline of events, but with the conversations and nuances interpolated and not strictly historical. I want to illustrate how she deploys this method, so that the reader can better judge (1) whether my claim is tenable, and (2) whether her account informs us of actual events.
On pages 222224 of Democracy in Chains, MacLean asserts her core claim: The Public Choice movement, led by James Buchanan but now operating autonomously, wants to subvert U.S. democracy and establish a military-led plutocracy. As she puts it (222): The ultimate target of the well-heeled rights stealth plan, though, as Buchanan for so long urged, is the nations most important rule book: The U.S. Constitution.
To nail down this claim, developed throughout the book by interpolating facts found nowhere in the documents she considers, MacLean examines a work by Tyler Cowen of George Mason Universitys economics department. MacLean (223224) notes that Cowen points to the success of neo-liberal policiesderegulation, privatization, flat taxesin Hong Kong, Singapore, Peru, and New Zealand. But then she delivers the real core message of the book:
[Cowen] identified another commonality in the success stories: In no case were reforms brought on by popular demand for market-oriented ideas. The pro-liberty cause faced the same problem it always had: it wanted a radical transformation that find[s] little or no support among the people. Cowen delivered the action implication of its minority following without mincing words: If American political institutions render market-oriented reforms too difficult to achieve, then perhaps those institutions should be changed.
The economist was creating, it seems fair to say, a handbook for how to conduct a fifth column assault on democracy. The weakening of the checks and balances in the American system, Cowen suggested, would increase the chance of a very good outcome. Alas, given the pervasive reverence for the U.S. Constitution, a direct bid to manipulate the system could prove disastrous. Cowens best advice, informed by the Chilean experience, was sudden percussive policy bombing, akin in nature, one could say, to the military doctrine of shock and awe, which uses colossal displays of force and calculated interlinked maneuvers to shock the enemy into submission. (emphasis added)
There are three points worth mentioning about this passage, which is one of the most remarkable examples of why this book is remarkable.
1. MacLean interprets Cowens message, and says he is not mincing words. But MacLean does mince words: she minces Cowens words. In fact, she slices, dices, and purees them. Here is what Cowen (2015, 20) actually said, in the document MacLean references, with MacLeans selectively quoted words italicized:
Given the instability of the Westminster parliamentary system, as discussed above, it is unlikely the U.S. would be better off moving in that direction. While the weakening of checks and balances would increase the chance of a very good outcome, it also would increase the chance of a very bad outcome. Furthermore, the perceived legitimacy of the U.S. Constitution suggests that such a change would involve disastrous transition costs. The American social consensus in favor of the Constitution could not easily be reconstructed from some alternative set of political institutions.
There is no way to read the paragraph that Cowen actually wrote, and use his words to make MacLeans point. But since hers is a work of historical fiction, she confected that point; she minced Cowens words, cutting his phrase from a context that actually reverses the meaning she ascribes to him.
2. The misuse of the cut-and-paste feature of MacLeans word processor is not accidental, and it is not intended ironically. MacLean knew perfectly well that the main points of Public Choice are that checks and balances are actually crucial, and that social consensus in favor of the Constitution is good, not bad, for Public Choice scholars. Thus, it is not fair to say that Cowen was writing a handbook for fifth-column subversion. But the truth is rather boring, and that just wasnt the story she wanted to tell here. As you read the book, you may notice that when something like fair to say is used for a paraphrase, that paraphrase is destructive of the meaning the person being quoted actually intended.
3. Finally, the connection with Chile is at once misleading and wrong. As I noted earlier, Buchanan himself was actually quite critical of the Pinochet regime, and reluctant to participate in any way. But more important is the question that Cowen was actually working on in the above passage, and the paper, that MacLean addresses here. The question is this: how can a nation develop good economic and political institutions? In particular, in terms of policy advice, should a nation try to develop rule of law and property rights first, and political democracy second? Or the other way around, political democracy first? It is at least a legitimate argument to advance that the transition to democracy made by South Korea, Taiwan, and other nations that were once military dictatorships, or suffered from one-party rule, rested on their development of market institutions. Once a nation reaches a certain level of prosperity, the counterweight of the new middle class may give democracy more stability than if democracy is imposed first, before property rights and rule of law are established. Notice I am not claiming this argument is obviously correct; rather, Im identifying Cowens mention of Chile as an example of a nation that started with military dictatorship, imposed a system of property rights and a constitution that restricted political liberty, and then made the successful transition to full democracy. Rule of law allowed Chile to become a stable constitutional republic, like the United States. Trying to argue that Cowen wants the U.S. to be like Chile is just a misleading mincing of words.
As I hope has been clear, as a book Democracy in Chains is well-written, and the research it contains is both interesting and in many cases illuminating. But as an actual history, as a reliable account of the centrality of the work of James Buchanan in a gigantic conspiracy designed to end democracy in America, it turns far away from its mark. It is the story of an alternative past that never actually happened.
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|Michael C. Munger is Co-Editor of The Independent Review, Research Fellow at the Independent Institute, and Professor of Political Science, Economics and Public Policy and Director of the Philosophy, Politics, and Economics Program at Duke University.|