WASHINGTONBarack Obama, whose political fortunes are being overturned by a tide of national frustration that began spreading before he took office, has adopted a populist stance against the mighty bankers. But his proposals against the evils of Wall Street will hurt all of us more than the guys in the suspenders.
The presidents plans include a tax on banks liabilities other than deposits; a government agency with the power to break up big banks; and forbidding large financial institutions from engaging in proprietary trading (that is, from investing their own capital as opposed to their customers money) or owning hedge funds.
The tax punishes banks for borrowing money from sources other than depositors. The problem, however, was not that banks borrowed too much money but exactly the oppositethat they dished out too much credit.
Setting up a pachydermic government agency with the power to break up financial giants sounds a bit like those ancient tablets called Palimpsests that the Romans scraped off in order to write on them againand again and again, until they became illegible. Numerous agencies, including the Federal Reserve, with the power to restrain banks were already in place before and after the bubble. Placing a new one on top of the others is comically redundant.
There is a much simpler way of breaking up banks deemed too big to fail. Its called . . . letting them fail. When a bank fails, its assets are absorbed by more efficient institutions eager to expand. After a short period of suffering, the recovery begins. This is what is happening with the hundred-plus local or regional banks that failed last year. The notion that the entire system will come tumbling down if the government lets a mammoth financial institution fail is a superstition that invites recklessness in Wall Streetand postpones the recovery when something goes wrong.
Finally, blaming proprietary trading for the credit bubble is like blaming Tiger Woods time-consuming appreciation for women on the fact that he uses his spare time to play golf. What the government is in effect saying to banks is: Devote all your energies to taking risks with your clients money, not your own. The truth is that proprietary trading had little to do with the credit bubble, which mostly involved the customers money. Banks used those funds to buy or underwrite mortgages and mortgage-backed securities, which was just another way of lending money. When the bubble exploded, they were left holding what became known as toxic assets. Unable to resell or earn income from such assets, the banks had trouble paying back interest on short-term loans they had taken.
No measures are being proposed to tackle the essence of the matter. The bubble started when the Federal Reserve pursued a policy of cheap money, flooding the economy with credit. The Fed is now repeating that grave error with more cheap moneyit has pumped $2 trillion in loans of various kinds, not to mention the trillions in guarantees. What policies influenced the general climate of irresponsibility? The governments deficits, for one, which added to household and corporate profligacy. This is only getting worse. What pushed people to consume more than they produced, apart from the policies previously described? The multiple incentives built by politicians into the system for endless consumption. And that is happening again.
In the last year and a half, while people have been trying to get out of debt and spend lessa natural response in a time of unemployment and foreclosuresthe government has multiplied efforts to make them consume more so that businesses are made to believe there is demand for their products. It has not workedbanks are being prudent with their money, people are requesting less credit, and businesses are afraid to hire. But it has prevented the economy from purging its excessesso-called malinvestments.
In 1896, William Jennings Bryan, a consummate populist, secured the nomination of the Democratic Party with a speech that savaged banks and proposed inflating the currency by doing away with the gold standard. You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold, he raged. Although he lost the election, the seeds were sown for future financial indisciplineand for tragedies such as the Crash of 1929. No asset is more toxic than a politicians tongue. President Obama ought to remember this before his next speech on banking.
|Alvaro Vargas Llosa is Senior Fellow of The Center on Global Prosperity at The Independent Institute. He is a native of Peru and received his B.S.C. in international history from the London School of Economics. His Independent Institute books include Global Crossings: Immigration, Civilization, and America, Lessons From the Poor: Triumph of the Entrepreneurial Spirit, The Che Guevara Myth and the Future of Liberty, and Liberty for Latin America.|