The last time a young politician oozing with charm and charisma assumed the presidency was 1961. The American public was enthralled with John F. Kennedy and continues to rank him one of the best presidents in history.
Historians have not been as kind, deeming JFK one of Americas most overrated presidents. They give him creditprobably too muchfor his handling of the Cuban missile crisis, but poor marks for the botched Bay of Pigs invasion and his scant legislative record. But even such historical judgments may overrate Kennedy, who almost triggered a nuclear war for no strategic reason, largely so he would not appear weak before the important 1962 midterm election.
Ronald Reagan also was popular and charismatic and is overrated by the public and experts alike. During his presidency, public opinion polls regularly found Reagan more popular than his policies.
After leaving office, he attained almost mythical status among conservatives and even won praise from liberal historians and journalists, despite selling arms to sponsors of terrorism to ransom hostages and his secret undermining of the major remaining constitutional power of Congressthe power to fund federal activitiesduring the Iran-Contra affair.
Reagan also cut and ran from Lebanon after a suicide bomber killed 241 U.S. service personnel. And he doubled the size of the federal government, most of itcontrary to popular beliefwith increased domestic spending.
Yet Reagans carefully cultivated conservative imagea western cowboy on horseback, funny for a man from Illinoishas endured, mostly because, as luck would have it, the overextended and economically dysfunctional Soviet Union collapsed soon after Reagan left office.
Theodore Roosevelt, another colorful macho president, also has been overrated by historians and the public. A manly outdoorsman who was a war hero, big game hunter, and real-life cowboy, Roosevelt captured the fancy of the nation and has been a favorite of historians ever since.
Historians have called Roosevelt the first modern presidenta euphemism for a presidency stronger than the nations founders intendedattributing a significance to him he doesnt deserve.
In fact, Roosevelt was much less important to the presidency than his bland predecessor, William McKinley, who used the Spanish-American War to subsume policy-making power from its historical repository in Congress and pioneered the use of presidential speeches around the countrythat is, inventing the bully pulpit to pressure Congress to do his bidding.
The fact is, journalists and historians love colorful and charismatic presidents, churning out bucket loads of books on such presidents, while shortchanging many others.
Barack Obama has all the qualities these writers and analysts love.
His charisma and cool will help him remain popular longer, and give him an edge in his inevitable confrontations with Congress. They should also enhance his historical legacy since even supposedly analytical historians are people too and get swept up in the passions of the time.
But charisma and cool and other characteristics that typically impress journalists and historianssuch as the handling of crises, public speaking abilities, and a take-charge presidential management styledont make a great president.
Presidents should be judged only on outcomesthat is, presidential policiesthat affect the country and set precedents for subsequent chief executives. And those policies should be judged by whether, and to what degree, they promote peace, prosperity and liberty.
Barack Obama has all the qualities the public and historians love. Only time will tell, however, if his policies meet the test of a great presidency.
Ivan Eland is Senior Fellow and Director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at The Independent Institute. Dr. Eland is a graduate of Iowa State University and received an M.B.A. in applied economics and Ph.D. in national security policy from George Washington University. He has been Director of Defense Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, and he spent 15 years working for Congress on national security issues, including stints as an investigator for the House Foreign Affairs Committee and Principal Defense Analyst at the Congressional Budget Office. He is author of the books Partitioning for Peace: An Exit Strategy for Iraq, and Recarving Rushmore.
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