Old cold warriors never die, they just get more paranoid. A prime example is the argument made by some analysts that China is undermining U.S. security by attempting to gain control of shipping through the strategic Panama Canal. Nothing could be more preposterous.
Some conservatives argue that the Panama Ports Companywhich won a long-term contract to operate the port facilities at both ends of the canaland the owner of its Hong Kong-based affiliate Hutchison-Whampoa shipping company have links to Chinas People Liberation Army and intelligence services. Admiral Thomas Moorer, former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, goes even further: Hutchison-Whampoa controls countless ports around the world. My specific concern is that this company is controlled by the Communist Chinese. And they have virtually accomplished, without a single shot being fired, a stronghold on the Panama Canal.
The alarmists also note that 10 percent of Panama Ports is owned by China Resources Enterprise (CRE), the commercial arm of Chinas Ministry of Trade and Economic Cooperation. Senator Fred Thompson (R-TN) has called CRE an agent of espionage for China.
Yet do the Hutchison-Whampoa owners alleged links to the Chinese military and intelligence services and the Chinese governments ownership stake in Panama Ports necessarily constitute an insidious geopolitical plot by China to control a strategic asset in Americas backyard? The contract by a shipping company to operate port facilities may simply be designed to make money. Even the Chinese government and military have routinely been engaged in businesses activities overseas to turn a profitfor example, in the food and clothing industries. Because he felt that commercial distractions undermined the Chinese militarys effectiveness, Jiang Zemin, Chinas leader, recently ordered the armed forces to get out of such activities. If such business ventures have such a detrimental effect on Chinas military readiness, perhaps the United States should encourage the Chinese military to conduct more business, not less even in the Western Hemisphere.
Furthermore, the Panama Canal Commission insists that Panama Ports cannot determine which ships can transit the canal. In fact, after the United States ends its military presence in Panama in December 1999, U.S. military vessels will continue to have priority over other shipping for passage through the isthmus.
In the worst case, even if the Chinese business activities in Panama have a geopolitical motivation rather than a commercial one, they will likely have little strategic effect. After the demise of the Soviet superpower adversary, which was capable of launching simultaneous, coordinated attacks in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, the Panama Canal is much less important for U.S. security. Today, the two large American naviesthe Atlantic and Pacific fleetseach have overwhelming dominance in their respective regions without the necessity of rapidly swinging ships from one ocean to the other via the canal. Even during the Cold War, the Navys capital shipsthe aircraft carrierswere too large to fit through the canal.
The Chinese would probably be reluctant to close a waterway that they also use for commerce. In the worst caseif Panama Ports blocks the canal or refuses U.S. Navy vessels passage during an international crisisthe worlds most powerful naval force could open up the waterway rapidly. Even conservatives admit that the treaty allows the United States to intervene if access to the canal is blocked. Although the alarmists hint that China could extend the range of its navy by controlling Panamanian ports, the antiquated Chinese fleet has problems just patrolling the nearby South China Sea.
And exactly what would the China threat faction have the U.S. government do about the situation? The sovereign government of Panamawhich will finally be in charge of all of its territory after a 96-year U.S. colonial presencehas entered into a long-term contract with a private company for operation of the waterway. What right does the U.S. government have to veto commercial agreements by other governments? Should the United States invade Panama again and occupy the canal zone to assuage the paranoid fears of those who would like China to be the enemy in a new Cold War?
According to General Barry McCaffrey, former head of the U.S. Southern Command when it was based in Panama and now the U.S. anti-drug czar, We dont have vital national security interests in Panama. Lest he be deemed a lackey for the Clinton administration, a report written in 1997 by a staff member of Jesse Helms, Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, also seemed to discount threats to the canal. After conducting extensive discussions with U.S. and Panamanian government officials, the staff member concluded, All those interviewed for this report state the HPHs [Hutchison Port Holdings] development of the two ports does not translate into a direct national security threat to the Panama Canal.
Lastly, the timing of the alarmists shrill warnings is suspicious. The search for threats to a man-made body of water that has declined in strategic importance is a desperate attempt to rollback the treaty-mandated withdrawal of an unneeded U.S. military presence in December of this year. Imperialist cold warriors just cannot bear to give up Panama. They will have postpartum depression, but the rest of us can celebrate the rebirth of Panama without a humiliating and anachronistic colonial presence on its territory.
Ivan Eland is Senior Fellow and Director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at The Independent Institute. Dr. Eland is a graduate of Iowa State University and received an M.B.A. in applied economics and Ph.D. in national security policy from George Washington University. He has been Director of Defense Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, and he spent 15 years working for Congress on national security issues, including stints as an investigator for the House Foreign Affairs Committee and Principal Defense Analyst at the Congressional Budget Office. He is author of the books Partitioning for Peace: An Exit Strategy for Iraq, and Recarving Rushmore.
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