I have an uncomplicated theory of voter behavior: when the party in power approaches issues in a way that is simplistic, extreme and beholden to special interests, people tend to vote for the other party.
This theory explains a lot more than you might think. It explains why New York Citya place where you could spend all day without running into a single Republicanhas elected and reelected quite a few Republican mayors. It explains why Massachusettsarguably our most Democratic statehas a very popular conservative Republican governor. It explains why Californiaa state where successful Republican politicians are a vanishing breedelected Arnold Schwarzenegger as governor.
And, it explains why traditionally Republican districts voted in the last election to give control of the House of Representatives to Democrats instead.
Lets take a handful of issues that voters said were important in the recent election: say, health care, immigration, climate change and taxes. Forget what candidates said in the safe districts, where opinions are as extreme as they are irrelevant. Focus on what was said in the contested races.
|John C. Goodman is a Senior Fellow at the Independent Institute, President of the Goodman Institute for Public Policy Research, and author of the widely acclaimed Independent books, A Better Choice: Healthcare Solutions for America, and the award-winning, Priceless: Curing the Healthcare Crisis. The Wall Street Journal and the National Journal, among other media, have called him the Father of Health Savings Accounts.|
Obamacare remains highly controversial and faces ongoing legal and political challenges. Polls show that by a large margin Americans remain opposed to the healthcare law and seek to repeal and replace it. However, the question is: Replace it with what?